INEC’s Edo election result is consistent with our PVT outcome – Yiaga Africa

A civil society organization, Yiaga Africa, on Sunday revealed that the Independent National Electoral Commission’s (INEC), election result in Edo was consistent with its Parallel Vote Tabulation (PVT) methodology.

A board member of Yiaga Africa, Mr Ezenwa Nwagwu, disclosed this in a statement.

He stated that the group deployed PVT to assess the credibility of the Sept. 19, Governorship poll in Edo adding that through its `Watching The Vote (WTV) citizens movement’, had deployed 500 observers to monitor the election.

Newsmen report that the WTV is an advanced election observation methodology that employs well-established statistical principles and sophisticated information technology to provide timely and accurate information on conduct of elections.

“Based on reports from 96 per cent (241 of 250) of sampled polling units, Yiaga Africa’s statistical analysis shows that the APC should receive between 39.1 per cent and 46.3 per cent of the votes.

“The PDP should receive between 52.5 per cent and 59.7 per cent of the votes, while no other party will receive more than one per cent of the vote share.

“INEC’s official result for the 2020 Edo State gubernatorial election is consistent with the Yiaga Africa WTV estimate.

“Had the official results been changed at the ward, LGA or state collation centres, the official results would not have fallen within the Yiaga Africa WTV estimated ranges,” Nwagwu said.

Nwagwu said because the official results fell within the estimated ranges, governorship contestants, parties, and voters should have confidence in INEC’s official results for the election because it reflected the ballots cast at polling units.He said that it was important to highlight that the counting process at polling units was transparent and included representatives from the two political parties that received the most votes.

He said that Yiaga Africa PVT result revealed that INEC’s official results for turnout and rejected ballots were also consistent with its WTV estimates.

He said that Yiaga Africa was able to estimate that turnout was 27.4 per cent with a margin of error of ±2.1 per cent (between 25.3 per cent and 29.5 per cent), while INEC’s official turnout was 25 per cent .

He said that Yiaga Africa estimated rejected ballots were 1.8 per cent with a margin of error of ± 0.6 per cent (between 1.2 per cent and 2.4 per cent) while INEC’s official result for rejected ballots was 2.3 per cent .

Nwagwu therefore concluded that the INEC results are consistent with these projections